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The Case for XLU: Why XLU is the Hidden Gem Outperforming Big Tech


For those just beginning their investment journey or those too busy with daily life to actively manage a portfolio, I recommend passive investing. If you haven't yet explored this approach, I suggest checking out my past blog posts on:

 

As we step into September, with two-thirds of 2024 now behind us, it is a great time to review the performance of various market segments. Today, we will take a closer look at the performance of sector ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) and discuss something that may be particularly noteworthy.


What?

The chart below shows the year-to-date (YTD) performance of the Select Sector SPDR ETFs as of 9/2/2024. The S&P 500 Index recorded an 18.42% gain so far this year. What's surprising is the Tech sector's underperformance (14.47% YTD gain) compared to the S&P 500. The top 3 best-performing sectors year-to-date are Financials (21.65%), Utilities (20.46%), and Communication Services (20.18%). The most intriguing finding here is the high performance of the Utilities sector ETF.



The Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) is an exchange-traded fund that aims to track the performance of the Utilities Select Sector Index, a subset of the S&P 500. This ETF specifically focuses on utility companies, including those involved in electricity, water, natural gas, and other related services. XLU offers investors a way to gain exposure to a traditionally stable and defensive sector of the market, known for its low volatility and steady income through dividends.

 

So What?

Despite its traditionally conservative nature of XLU, seeking stability and consistent dividends, it has been outperforming some of the biggest names in tech, making it a hot topic for both risk-averse and growth-seeking investors. The surge in XLU’s performance can be attributed to several key factors:

  • Stability and Low Volatility: Utilities are often considered safe havens during periods of economic uncertainty. As inflation concerns, high interest rates, and weakening labor markets loom, investors are gravitating towards sectors that offer stability and reliable returns.

  • Attractive Dividends: XLU offers a dividend yield of around 3%, which is particularly appealing in a market environment where income generation is becoming increasingly challenging.

  • AI Impact: The rapid growth of AI and its increasing energy demands have indirectly benefited the utilities sector. Data centers, which are crucial for AI operations, require substantial power, driving up the demand for utilities. This has provided a tailwind for utility companies, thereby boosting XLU's performance.

 

Now What?

For everyday investors, the question is whether now is the right time to invest in XLU or if the opportunity has already passed. Given the current economic environment and the ongoing developments in AI, utilities are likely to remain a strong contender in portfolios focused on risk management, diversification, and income generation. Here are my recommendations:

  • Long-Term Stability: If you're looking for a long-term, lower-risk investment with the potential for steady returns, XLU is a strong candidate. Its low volatility makes it an excellent choice for conservative portfolios, especially in uncertain markets.

  • Balanced Portfolio: Consider XLU as part of a diversified portfolio. While it may not offer the explosive growth potential of tech stocks, its role as a stabilizer can be invaluable, particularly during market downturns.

  • Monitor AI Trends: Keep an eye on the continued expansion of AI and its energy demands, as these could further enhance the growth prospects for utility stocks.

 

Concluding Remarks

In summary, XLU represents a unique opportunity for investors seeking a combination of stability, income, and potential growth driven by AI-related energy demands. As the market landscape evolves, this ETF could continue to outperform more volatile sectors, making it a worthwhile consideration for a balanced investment strategy. However, before making any investment decisions, consult with a financial or investment professional to ensure that XLU aligns with your individual financial goals and risk tolerance.

 

 

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